Saturday morning started early. We were up with just about enough time to get a good night's rest. We went around the house, all the men in our location. We took down anything that could get blown by strong winds. Outdoor furniture, a lawnmower, stacks of fire wood-anything we could take into a safe location was taken out. An outdoor grill was too heavy to take in so we tried to secure it. Luckily we had taken a lot of rope with us, we also had some chain and locks. These two things alone have multiple uses and are always present in some form in my bag or box or whatever setup. We also had a pair of work gloves which were useful.
We surveyed the trees again, checking for possibilities of them falling onto the house or one of our bug out vehicles. It may be safe to relocate the vehicle elsewhere on the road if needed to keep it away from the trees. But we'd sacrifice being farther from a means of escape. Also, instead of unloading all of our gear into the house, I kept some into the car so if we loose one(car or house), another stash survives. The trees seemed to be fine, we had our worries but we judged them to be stable enough. Perhaps a good thing, as later on the driveway and road where we would have relocated the vehicles would be flooded with fast flowing runoff. I recall somewhere that a few inches of fast flowing water (6 inch or so?) is enough to make a vehicle loose traction and slide with the water.
We checked the doors and windows as well. We took inside any window mounted AC units so we could close the window fully. I recall the mayor saying that his experts said it was not necessary-but why wouldn't we do it? We had time to prepare and had the manpower anyway. Best be safe.
I had suggested we start filling the bath tubs after the last person who wants to take a bath is done. Unfortunately, the owner of the bug out location (owner of the house) was not to concerned about it and it was eventually shrugged off. I kept taking inventory of how much water they had, how much water we brought with us. As a prepper I am proud to say we brought much more supplies in food, water and equipment than what was present at our bug out location. They were not preppers and had basically regular stuff at home. I am hoping I can slowly educate them into stocking more stuff as they already have an ideal bug out location to begin with. So anyway we had enough water for a few days. If we needed to I knew of a water source nearby, plus we could save up the rain water runoff early on-and use a ceramic filter I have with me. Also a bunch of other ways to filter the water available at the time-boiling, brita filters, etc. The children would use the stored water and the adults would use the filtered ones. I had an argument with a family member about the idea, as he did not believe any filter would be enough to clean outdoor water. Despite explaining the filtration capabilities of modern filters and the features of an MSR filter I had, they were just beyond reasoning with.
I tried to keep a small corner active, feeding us information by internet, TV news and text messages. Friends from various locations texted in their info/status. Friends in the online community of other preppers posted their status and how they are doing. It was just a small corner in the house to gather intel, I'd check up on it every now and then. I tried to enjoy the day with the rest of the family. This was to keep me organized as this was not my home and I needed my stuff somewhere with some sense of organization to keep me efficient.
I was out in the yard thinking about flooding from the rear of the house when I heard the hiss of rain. It seemed early, but I walked inside and in a few seconds the rain started pouring. In a few hours the hurricane would be upon us and we would see how things went. Checking on the forecast I opted to rest early and wake up early a few hours before the hurricane was expected to come. We also relocated to the sub-basement, me and my family. I was still worried about strong winds and the trees, everyone else was happy and seemed to be confident after sensing we had things under control. I just told them that if the winds pick up I would wake them and have them relocate downstairs with us.
We lost power in the middle of the night. Before sleeping we had taken out our flashlights so it was easy. I also had my wife keep on a comfortable, bug out ready set of clothes so we can run out and have some advantage. I had cargo pants/shorts on. Keys and lights and baseball cap on my side. Bug out bag a few feet from me. When I woke up in the wee hours of the night to check on stuff I had my headlamp on and was very comfortable checking and working with both hands free. It was bad outside but the winds were not as bad as I feared. Just lots and lots of water.
Soon everyone was up. Seems like we were in the clear. We would have to wait til later in the day to survey the property. Again, proud to be a prepper, I was the only one with a radio so we could get some news on the hurriacane. Since power was out nobody had news. I had updates from text and a weather radio I had bought and stocked years and years ago-waiting for an opportunity to be used. We noted which counties were badly damaged. Where the hurricane was and how strong were the winds currently. Some bridges were still closed to certain directions, but as long as we make it back to the island we can get home. We waited on the news to plan our trip back.
Frustratingly, I was also observing members of the retreat for whatever skills they could contribute. True enough some were completely dependent on others to do the work. Some were truly valuable with their everyday skills. Cooking was a great asset and a great moral boost during the whole time. Plus when the power went out they knew just what to do with the food to make it last the longest-what recipes, which to cook first, which meals can be recycled into another recipe with similar ingredients to extend life. It was great and I wish I had time to learn more. Child care was also an essential skill during the whole ordeal. The children were always playing and this kept us all happy. It was entertaining, distracted us and kept us stress free. It would have been far more stressful with children crying all hours of the night. Some members of our retreat did yield to some poor decision the day before and went to the local mall to go shopping, reasoning that the storm was still many hours away. It just boggles the mind.
Also, on distributing responsibilities, I took out the radio so that people could listen in on the news. Soon I realized I was the only one listening in and the rest were simply chatting about like nothing. I felt tired, I had been on the alert for awhile and just keeping tabs on too many things. I wish they could take on the task of picking up news and gathering intel. In the future I intend to formalize assigning responsibilities to people.
I started to get a cold, from the stress and exhaustion. Sleeping early did not help, loads of vitamin C did not help. At the end of all this I still had to load and unload my gear to the jeep and then back to the apartment in the city. I thought of this in planning the bug out in general but did not think it would come so soon. yet another improvement for future plans.
I picked up news of which bridges leading to the city were open. With the hurricane a long way past NY, we wanted to get back in the city before all the other evacuees decide to drive back home as well. This was a wise decision as we avoided all the traffic. It was a smooth drive home, albeit a few detours. It helps a lot to have a map and a gps. Also, communicating with the other vehicles in the convoy before driving and during is essential. Everything was coordinated and we kept stress levels to a minimum.
Soon enough we were back at home. I unloaded our bug out preps in the boxes one by one. I could not avoid some neighbors seeing me do this, and I at least kept them consistent. Whoever had already seen me was okay with seeing me do it again with the other boxes, but nobody else. I was exhausted after unloading.
We were all glad to be back home. Everything was in order. I recall securing the house in the event looting or robbing in the neighborhood starts. We had water in the tub and loads more in jugs. It was a smooth procedure storing our bug out gear back into their closets. We were back to functioning at our apartment. We're glad nothing bad happened in the city, and glad we bugged out. It was a perfect opportunty to test the plan and a perfect reason to teach them the plan. They even led the convoy and chose the best route for the event. I know at least that they have this part of my bug out plan in their memories and know some basic stuff to bring, ,where to go and what to be aware of. I just hope that when we get the chance to sit down and review the events they will be more keen on listening and consider prepping to some level. We'll be checking in on our family and friends on how they did. Hopefully not a lot of people lost their lives. I do pray for those who got hit harder than us, may God bless them.
We live in uncertain times. This blog is intended to publish a prepper's efforts to protect myself and family from the coming changes.
Sunday, August 28, 2011
Hurricane Irene
Labels:
Bugging out,
Hurrican Irene,
hurricane
Location:
Queens, New York, USA
Friday, August 26, 2011
Hurricane update
We have arrived at our bug out location upstate. We have been keeping track of the hurricane through CNN and our local news channels. The local channels actually provide better coverage, while CNN has better technology and quite accurate meteorologists. I am glad everyone is aware.
My bug out "drill" needs some work. Packing up my gear onto our vehicle took far longer than expected and more labor intensive than I hoped. This would be an issue when I am trying to minimize stress and conserve energy. I have to keep in mind that one of the most valuable parts of a bug out is timing when to do so. We timed it right this time, just ahead of a lot of people who thought Saturday morning would be ideal.
I have surveyed the area multiple times, our biggest risk for now are downed trees. If any of the nearby trees fall towards the house we would have problems. It is dark now and I will need to look at these again tomorrow (Saturday) morning. For now we still have power, water and food. It seems my group brought the most supplies to the bug out location. We have the most tools, equipment, food and water. This incident should prove a good reason to start educating them on prepping.
Some observations:
My bug out "drill" needs some work. Packing up my gear onto our vehicle took far longer than expected and more labor intensive than I hoped. This would be an issue when I am trying to minimize stress and conserve energy. I have to keep in mind that one of the most valuable parts of a bug out is timing when to do so. We timed it right this time, just ahead of a lot of people who thought Saturday morning would be ideal.
I have surveyed the area multiple times, our biggest risk for now are downed trees. If any of the nearby trees fall towards the house we would have problems. It is dark now and I will need to look at these again tomorrow (Saturday) morning. For now we still have power, water and food. It seems my group brought the most supplies to the bug out location. We have the most tools, equipment, food and water. This incident should prove a good reason to start educating them on prepping.
Some observations:
- Plans for loading and bugging out will have issues.We had a cart to haul some boxes and that did not work. In theory it seemed a good idea, but with the weight and the need to keep quiet down the hallways so as not to make people aware of my preps, I snuck them out by carrying them instead.
- My wife had "prepped" some stuff as well in the last minute. Mostly regular comfort items. They added a lot to carry and load to our vehicle. More than I expected and at some point hindering visibility to my rear view.
- I wanted to keep a low profile so that my neighbors won't see my stuff. It was doable, but it would only take one to see me and gossip.
- I did not take all our bug out boxes-I left one box full of food. I do not expect the stay to last that long. If it does, then there are other more complex reasons leading to bigger problems.
- I was the only able bodied person capable of loading the heavy gear. It may be useful to divvy up the load so others can help me and keep busy.
- At some point I had some tunnel vision due to the stress and alertness getting out. Used up a lot of energy to calm myself down.
Labels:
Bugging out,
Hurrican Irene,
Natural disasters,
New York city
Location:
Dutchess, New York, USA
Bugging out - Hurricane Irene
We are preparing to get out of the city for Hurricane Irene-expected to make landfall this weekend. Right now I am coordinating with my wife what can be done at home and will be out buying some last minute gear at a Home Depot close to work. We are communicating with my parents as to whether they should bug out to our apartment or if we should all get out of the city together and head upstate to another family member.
We have two courses of action to choose from. As I said we can have people bug out to our location, or we can altogether bug out even farther outside the city.
The first option is actually bugging in for us. This would be most convenient. All our supplies can sustain us for the duration of the disaster on its way, "us" including our guests. We are way above the flood zone and way above sea level. We are also above the first floor and are in a brick and block apartment building. Shelter wise, we would be more secure than most. We share the same threat level with everyone with regards to having their windows broken by flying debris. It would be tight for our apartment but we can accommodate family for a few nights. We have lots of water bottled and stored-more than we can carry with us if we bug out. Same thing for the food. Our gear is designed for our apartment and, in fact, our main plan was always to bug in. We would be ready for this.
If we bug out to get away from the city we are looking at exercising the full bug out plan. All my gear would be loaded onto our vehicle and we'd coordinate going upstate. A lot of trouble, but all part of a plan. We would not have as much food and water but we would have shelter, safer from the storm. Our supply lines are less prone to being cut and we still had time to prepare water and food before the worse comes.
We are leaving tonight at about 10pm. Estimated travel time is 1 hour. God bless all of us in the path of the hurricane.
We have two courses of action to choose from. As I said we can have people bug out to our location, or we can altogether bug out even farther outside the city.
The first option is actually bugging in for us. This would be most convenient. All our supplies can sustain us for the duration of the disaster on its way, "us" including our guests. We are way above the flood zone and way above sea level. We are also above the first floor and are in a brick and block apartment building. Shelter wise, we would be more secure than most. We share the same threat level with everyone with regards to having their windows broken by flying debris. It would be tight for our apartment but we can accommodate family for a few nights. We have lots of water bottled and stored-more than we can carry with us if we bug out. Same thing for the food. Our gear is designed for our apartment and, in fact, our main plan was always to bug in. We would be ready for this.
If we bug out to get away from the city we are looking at exercising the full bug out plan. All my gear would be loaded onto our vehicle and we'd coordinate going upstate. A lot of trouble, but all part of a plan. We would not have as much food and water but we would have shelter, safer from the storm. Our supply lines are less prone to being cut and we still had time to prepare water and food before the worse comes.
Our decision to bug out would be based on these issues:
- News updates. We tracked the hurricane where it was going and how powerful it wouldbe when it got to our city. I would recommend having updates from NotifyNYC. They texted me everything from Mayor announcements on the evacuation to suspended parking rules after the storm.
- Possible scenarios if the worse happens. Looking at footage from Katrina and foreign occurences, we played out the scenarios and what we had planned for them. We have done these before, when we were trying to list down the likely disasters to prep for. Hurricanes are not frequent in NY, but from where we came from we have had them before. We knew to prep for them just in case. You are looking at power outtages, food and water shortage, flood damage and a lot of other possible events linked to a big storm. We assessed how these would play out in our immediate neighborhood/community and what may happen.
- Supply lines. This was crucial for us at the time. Being in the city your supplies to food and water, utilities and all else are dependent on a shared system. If the city closed its bridges (which they said they would) or if flooding closed them and other roads, food and water, aid, would be unable to get in. Now, we have our own supply. That is not the problem I was worried about. However, if the rest of the people around us have none, then things can get really ugly. And with the news still saturated with recent riots in London and other would be attempts at riots throughout the US-you know it is a very likely scenario. The minds of people are just so open to resulting to mobs and looting.
We are leaving tonight at about 10pm. Estimated travel time is 1 hour. God bless all of us in the path of the hurricane.
Labels:
Bugging out,
Hurrican Irene,
hurricane,
Natural disasters,
New York city
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
East coast earthquake scare
By now news of the earthquake we had felt here on the East coast has been all over the tv. Fortunately the quake had not cause any sever damage and injuries. There were some damages to older buildings here in New York city, but last I checked no loss of life was reported. I am writing in retrospect of how the situation could have had a better reaction, given that it may happen again and the situation may escalate and cause real damage.
The tremor came at about 2pm, most of us were either having lunch or just finished. Most of us were relaxed, as is common right after eating and sitting to get back to work. I felt my leg shake against the floor and was not sure. I checked for similar reactions with other people in the room. I saw the fear and concern but I did not jump up. Where I come from, earthquakes are not uncommon. I grew up having similar tremors and nothing really had happened. I sat back down on my desk and looked to see where the quake was coming from-thru the United States Geologic Survey (USGS) site. Meanwhile people stayed in the room, concerned but with no real plan on what to do. Our boss was not even aware and came out asking what the commotion was about. Looking back this was a rather bad reaction on my part. If anything did happen, I would be just one more victim desptie all my preparations. One should never play down a sudden event due to past experiences-as things do not always turn out the same. Perhaps previous experiences did not cause any real harm-but this one, nobody would know until after the event has passed. I should not let other people decide or control what steps I take to ensure my survival. I should be more cautious, not over-confident.
I had considered an escape plan from the office building before. Key components include:
I realized it would be useful to have a smaller bag inside my every day carry bag that would hold the key survival items in it. Something to the size of a pouch bag or a small camera bag-nothing to attract attention. This way I could have the option of having basic gear on me without carrying the rest.
Also realized the need for a whistle. I have a couple, but I kept them as part of another bug out setup, not with my EDC. If buried in rubble, a whistle would be a most efficient way to signal for help. It would consume less effort and energy as opposed to shouting, and the signal would travel much much farther around the debris.
As expected phones were bogged down. I could not get through a 30 second conversation with my family and I would get cut off. I resorted to texting as planned. It was a bit delayed but it got through. I texted people where to meet if an aftershock occurs, and to be on alert.
I have been planning to find a better rally point/meeting place for my family in case something happens. I haven't done it yet so we had to resort to a previous location-the park around the corner from our house. Being in a city so dense, open areas are hard to find. I would have my family grab a small bug out kit at the door-designed just for them with minimum gear and light weight. These things need some work and the recent scare we had is just a reminder that times are changing sooner than we expect. Those of us who prepare and adapt faster will be better off than those who did not.
The tremor came at about 2pm, most of us were either having lunch or just finished. Most of us were relaxed, as is common right after eating and sitting to get back to work. I felt my leg shake against the floor and was not sure. I checked for similar reactions with other people in the room. I saw the fear and concern but I did not jump up. Where I come from, earthquakes are not uncommon. I grew up having similar tremors and nothing really had happened. I sat back down on my desk and looked to see where the quake was coming from-thru the United States Geologic Survey (USGS) site. Meanwhile people stayed in the room, concerned but with no real plan on what to do. Our boss was not even aware and came out asking what the commotion was about. Looking back this was a rather bad reaction on my part. If anything did happen, I would be just one more victim desptie all my preparations. One should never play down a sudden event due to past experiences-as things do not always turn out the same. Perhaps previous experiences did not cause any real harm-but this one, nobody would know until after the event has passed. I should not let other people decide or control what steps I take to ensure my survival. I should be more cautious, not over-confident.
I had considered an escape plan from the office building before. Key components include:
- Closest fire exit - the closest is not always the best. Where I work one fire exit will lead you to the rear of the building-in an alley surrounded by several other buildings. Scary place to be in an earthquake. I had surveyed this prior when clean up crews were using the exit-thus without triggering alarms or out of the ordinary actions I have scouted it and know it is less than ideal.
- Safest fire exit-is actually pretty easy to get to. This is my main escape plan out of the building
- Time to descend fire exit-several descents with various speeds average to about 2 minutes. A long time to be running down a stair in an earthquake. Plus, an important factor-this is me running at my pace. If everyone else is in the stair running down with me then it would take much much longer.
- Possible refuge areas-in my case since it may take too long to get down and then pass through an exit alley or interior lobby-I had to find an alternate place to seek refuge in the immediacy of an earthquake. We are actually on the top floor so it may be a good idea to go up to the roof instead. I have to think about this a little more, but it would mean I would be on top of the rubble if the building collapses. I would have a higher chance of rescue. One question is, in a freefall-what would be my chances of surviving. I have read other experts recommend the top floor as opposed to a dense street which will mean getting buried due to the closeness of the buildings. I have to do more research on the idea and weight the benefits.
- It is important to know a few things about your building. It would all roll into your general duties of scouting your area, but some things to look for would be the construction method of the building. Say what kind of building is it, steel frame or concrete structure? How old is the building? This would help inform you of quality of construction, how likely are glass windows to shatter and shower down below for example. It also informs you of which walls are safe to seek shelter to using the triangle shelter.
I realized it would be useful to have a smaller bag inside my every day carry bag that would hold the key survival items in it. Something to the size of a pouch bag or a small camera bag-nothing to attract attention. This way I could have the option of having basic gear on me without carrying the rest.
Also realized the need for a whistle. I have a couple, but I kept them as part of another bug out setup, not with my EDC. If buried in rubble, a whistle would be a most efficient way to signal for help. It would consume less effort and energy as opposed to shouting, and the signal would travel much much farther around the debris.
As expected phones were bogged down. I could not get through a 30 second conversation with my family and I would get cut off. I resorted to texting as planned. It was a bit delayed but it got through. I texted people where to meet if an aftershock occurs, and to be on alert.
I have been planning to find a better rally point/meeting place for my family in case something happens. I haven't done it yet so we had to resort to a previous location-the park around the corner from our house. Being in a city so dense, open areas are hard to find. I would have my family grab a small bug out kit at the door-designed just for them with minimum gear and light weight. These things need some work and the recent scare we had is just a reminder that times are changing sooner than we expect. Those of us who prepare and adapt faster will be better off than those who did not.
Labels:
Earthquake,
East coast earthquake
Location:
Midtown, New York, NY, USA
Thursday, August 4, 2011
Stock market plunged down 500+ points
As soon as I received a text update from CNN about the stock crash I lost focus on my day job and kept rehearsing my plans in my head. Over and over-kept rehearsing my plans in my head. I kept close watch of the news and tried to get a feel for anything going on outside of the office...some lessons learned:
- Make sure your family/group know what to do and what to avoid if this triggers something. At the time, as I was trying to gather more detailed info on the matter, I called up my wife. She and our son were out of the house strolling about the neighborhood. If something happened, I would want her to be home, or to avoid other people and minimize risks. I made it known to her what I had found out and told her of my concerns. She was soon back at home, secure and listening to news, keeping each other updated by text of how we are doing.
- Have your atm cards on you, in case there is a need to take out cash. In this case it would have been in anticipation of a bank run. Should people panic and run to the banks, you want to have taken out enough money before the panic. However, I did not take out cash-as it would have been a negative effect on the banks-I do not want to contribute to the panic.
- Keep a short inventory of what bank accounts you have and around how much each of them have-revolving around or set aside. If banks closed you may have difficulties. At the time, it was Thursday, if something happened over the weekend banks would be closed. One could still have access to the ATMs but more than that, it would be a problem. So a short list of bank accounts and their value, and the closest branches to your location at the time. I was at work and I knew how much, how close the banks were-and I kept calm and monitored the news. One thing I must advocate is to not contribute to a panic-no matter what the situation.
- Check your everyday-carry gear before leaving the building. If people do find reason to panic (not this one just yet as it was only a partial crash) I may have difficulty going home. I checked my EDC to find I have enough food, will need to refill my water bottles at the office pantry and should wear my spare shoes I have at work-which are better for long distance walking.
- I did a quick check of what my recent preps were-and they were all at home and ready for use. A bit messy some of them, not being logged and stored in the right box, but all were within our home and can be used.
- My office is fairly oblivious to market news because we are in a different industry. I am only aware of the issue as it is part of my concerns as a prepper. I cannot rely on my coworkers to know what is going on outside the office. Hence, I have to get to a window to look at how people are acting. This has other useful applications, but this allows one to sense any tension amongst the people who are outside and not confined to their work at the time. I would peek out the windows everytime I went for coffee, or went for the printer. Any tension in the air and I may need to get a closer look by going downstairs.
Labels:
Aug Stock crash,
economic collapse,
US stock crash
Location:
Downtown, New York, NY, USA
Wednesday, July 20, 2011
Strategic apartments
I have been on the lookout for an apartment for some months now. Sometimes just to study, or to gauge if it would be an ideal place to relocate to. We have just acquired a Jeep to work as our bug out vehicle, and to save us some much needed money I have opted to find a cheaper place for us.
The new apartment must compare well to our current one-in terms of qualifying as a decent bug in location. You see our current apartment is located outside of Manhattan, NYC. Still in a high value target area, but would be safe enough since the immediate target would be Manhattan. It is built on ground with about 60 feet of elevation-safe from flooding in case of a hurricane. The building is a pre-war building, made of brick, cinder block and steel. Interior partitions are of plaster-but the exterior would make good protection from bullets and radiation. We have steel doors all throughout the building-every main door to an apartment is steel, and interior doors are solid wood. We are above the ground floor as well, with a secure fire escape and multiple exits and ventilation sources. Another plus, geographically, is that have visual access to a major thoroughfare to get out of our island, and another access to the nearest bridge to get to the mainland. I know these would serve us well when a major evacuation starts. If our plans fail (bov, walk, bridges blocked), we have an alternate means to get out of the city-which I will opt not to mention any further-a very unique route only possible due to our unique relationship to a feature of the city.
So we are looking for a similarly advantageous apartment to relocate to. Some of our criteria for the location are:
For the building and apartment itself, we consider:
Just another average day in a ticking time bomb of a city.
The new apartment must compare well to our current one-in terms of qualifying as a decent bug in location. You see our current apartment is located outside of Manhattan, NYC. Still in a high value target area, but would be safe enough since the immediate target would be Manhattan. It is built on ground with about 60 feet of elevation-safe from flooding in case of a hurricane. The building is a pre-war building, made of brick, cinder block and steel. Interior partitions are of plaster-but the exterior would make good protection from bullets and radiation. We have steel doors all throughout the building-every main door to an apartment is steel, and interior doors are solid wood. We are above the ground floor as well, with a secure fire escape and multiple exits and ventilation sources. Another plus, geographically, is that have visual access to a major thoroughfare to get out of our island, and another access to the nearest bridge to get to the mainland. I know these would serve us well when a major evacuation starts. If our plans fail (bov, walk, bridges blocked), we have an alternate means to get out of the city-which I will opt not to mention any further-a very unique route only possible due to our unique relationship to a feature of the city.
So we are looking for a similarly advantageous apartment to relocate to. Some of our criteria for the location are:
- Crime rate (carjacks, robberies, muggings, drug activity)
- Local population (seniors, teenagers, unemployed) - will help me assess what threats to expect. I do not want to waste my time with local vandals and thugs. I keep an eye out for rowdy teens and know what areas they hang out at and how "rowdy" they are-if there is danger, I want to know how to minimize its risks to me.
- Surrounding businesses-these reflect what the community is about. What products, any food stamp programs, local interests like fishing, organic stores...On one occasion I learned about hidden gardens in my area when I had a chat with a local vendor at a dollar store. I was talking about the mason jars I was buying and he mentioned people who buy them have gardens, mostly in their senior years in parts of the area where no renters are found.
- Proximity to bridges out of the area and into US mainland-These will get clogged fast in an emergency and I want to be able to get to it as fast as possible. Maybe even relay info to parts of our group so they can avoid a nearby bridge if it is jammed.
- Proximity to police facilities and fire stations - Being close to them would offer security and some assurance (mostly, but they can always turn bad if things get bad enough).
- Proximity to Prisons, mental institutions, rehab centers (our current one is close to one of these) I recall reading about Egypt, that the prisons were set open and the prisoners let loose. It was a scare tactic for the people to get back home and protect their self interests rather than participate in the revolution. Being close to these places are never a good idea in the first place.
- Cleanliness of streets (litter is related to stress and quality of life)
- Cultural makeup (too much of one race/nationality is a contributor to rioting and gangs)
- Presence of offices and stores which support government hand-outs
For the building and apartment itself, we consider:
- Multiple exit routes-being above the ground floor with an alternate exit is ideal
- Access to a backyard or balcony-as we intend to upgrade our garden
- A working fireplace - hard to come by but would be a big plus so we keep a lookout
- A basement in the building-yup just good a old fashioned fall-out shelter
- Garage if possible-this would be a big plus as we can store more of our stuff and work on our bug out vehicle away from public view
- Building construction-we would be lucky to find a solid brick building or one made of modern cmu and brick together. I am in the building industry, and we can identify which walls would be useful for sheltering in place.
- A two story single-detached family home would be great as we would not have to deal with a horde of people living in the same building-but it would be hard to find one with a brick structure. However it would make the garden an easier goal.
Just another average day in a ticking time bomb of a city.
Location:
New York, NY, USA
Wednesday, July 13, 2011
The scenarios I prep for [part 1]
New York city has a population of more than 8 million people as of the 2009 census. 3.9 million of these are male, 4.4 million are female. The median age of these people are 35.9 years. Among these, 42,480 are in nursing homes, 15,338 are in local jails and 4,801 are in halfway houses for drug/alcohol abuse. The local population is diverse-with various races and nationalities, religious beliefs, affiliations and morals. All these people rely heavily on the one city's infrastructure- a high maintenance network of just in time systems. Mass transit of subways bring people in and out of an island city. Bridges and tunnels surround Manhattan, control and security provided by surveillance and roving security personnel. Food is shipped in by the truckload on a daily basis-loaded into groceries and restaurants all over-which feed the masses of people coming to the city to work. The convenience of living in such a city often hide the dangers and pending disasters associated with such a high density area working on a very interdependent and fragile system.
I have always been concerned about survivability in my area. Such a dense city with so many dependent people would be a disaster. And with the recent events happening all over, I cannot avoid thinking about my plans and preparations. There have been floods, droughts, earthquakes, financial crisis, inflation...I spend my hours pondering what this radically different time holds for the rest of us. I cannot focus on my work sometimes. I spend my hours-those that I have for myself when I am free of the chains of this daily work cycle-preparing for what may come. Almost daily I read up on specific news from certain news sources; some mainstream and some less reliable ones. I note down observations for the day when I had just scouted the neighborhood on the way home-regarding specific information which would be of value for when all my planning must be put to action. I note down tools which need to be acquired-manual hand tools and some powered ones. I prepare meat to preserve and store, constantly figuring out how long our stock will last us. I research and print instructions on how to install electricity. I check on the progress of our potato plant, and prepare for addition of other ones. I do a quick run on our group's plans for escaping the city. It sounds hectic, and it is. Sometimes it overwhelms me, especially so when I feel its urgency. These last few months have been going too fast, and I can only hope and pray that I have done all I can to avert disaster.
One of the must urgent issues I have would be an economic collapse. US now regularly uses the word "default", where it had blocked out the use of the word "recession". It may not be a full shtf scenario, not a wrol life, but it will get really ugly. Since this would be a long boring post if I wrote down all the scenarios I prep for, I'd rather break them down into smaller posts. And as I said, the most immediate one is economic collapse.
Economic collapse:
This is not a local issue-if the country's financial system fails it fails everywhere. The problems will be global-since everything is pegged on our currency. A collapse will have very specific effects in this urban environment. In a city of apartment renters-homelessness would go through the roof. Think about it, how can rent be paid if one barely has any money for food? Do you think that the land owners will just let people squat on their property for nothing? People would be homeless, entire families out on the street. If we end up there as well, I'd try to treat it as a camping trip in an urban area.
What kind of jobs would be available? I am trying to make plans and train myself in jobs that would still be around in such an event. Repairmen, engineers, construction workers, mechanics and general laborers may fare better than office workers. I wonder if a job in IT would fare well...technology would definitely be around but on what level? Also, how would schooling work? Education would be substandard as we lose good teachers. A lot of schools have closed in the past few years as well...this is a real consideration. I have thought of stocking books and educational tools, pencils and paper for this purpose. It may not be high up on my list as it is still early for my family, but it is on the to-do-list. Also, public utilities would go down, or would be of substandard quality. The quality of water in countries which faced an economic meltdown dropped significantly. Electricity was also scarce and thus there were roving blackouts. With these came disease and crime.Make plans for purifying water at home (not necessarily from a river out in the woods) and make plans for security at night, when there are no lights and perhaps no police to come to help.
I have stored food and water for my small family to feed us when food prices skyrocket. Our main plan is to bug in when the collapse begins. We'll avoid the riots and the crime by staying in a secure and familiar area. Our apartment can be made secure-the front door is steel and we have a steel table which would barricade it perfectly. Our window has access to an emergency fire escape which I will secure so only the occupants can use it-not thieves or looters. If the electricity goes out, we have lights and and a source of heat. We can cook without the gas from the utility line-and can convert to propane for some time. We've also stocked up on rechargeable batteries and disposable ones-of standard sizes so we can use use them on most of our electronics. In the future I plan to acquire a solar charger to supplement our electrical needs. Not a priority since my wife and I have experience living with roving blackouts when we were younger. As for money, we do not have a lot of money in the banks-and these would serve us little even if we got them out. It would be a good thing to have an emergency fund, in cash, at home or at some safe place for your use.
As part of what I have scouted before, I know which apartment buildings have a chimney, which ones have a source of water or a garden. We know where to find payphones hidden in a quiet corner. We know where to find meat or food besides the grocery. I know these can be useful to me later, and so I have those listed down as part of our plans. Scouting for such useful information is a good exercise I believe, and best done while things are normal and peaceful.
In reality, the biggest issue will be homelessness and food. It will be harder for those who have families, as their needs will be different with the innocent children. My preps do not cover all my concerns on this matter, and I am still working on them. Like I said, better to do them amidst these normal and peaceful times.
I have always been concerned about survivability in my area. Such a dense city with so many dependent people would be a disaster. And with the recent events happening all over, I cannot avoid thinking about my plans and preparations. There have been floods, droughts, earthquakes, financial crisis, inflation...I spend my hours pondering what this radically different time holds for the rest of us. I cannot focus on my work sometimes. I spend my hours-those that I have for myself when I am free of the chains of this daily work cycle-preparing for what may come. Almost daily I read up on specific news from certain news sources; some mainstream and some less reliable ones. I note down observations for the day when I had just scouted the neighborhood on the way home-regarding specific information which would be of value for when all my planning must be put to action. I note down tools which need to be acquired-manual hand tools and some powered ones. I prepare meat to preserve and store, constantly figuring out how long our stock will last us. I research and print instructions on how to install electricity. I check on the progress of our potato plant, and prepare for addition of other ones. I do a quick run on our group's plans for escaping the city. It sounds hectic, and it is. Sometimes it overwhelms me, especially so when I feel its urgency. These last few months have been going too fast, and I can only hope and pray that I have done all I can to avert disaster.
One of the must urgent issues I have would be an economic collapse. US now regularly uses the word "default", where it had blocked out the use of the word "recession". It may not be a full shtf scenario, not a wrol life, but it will get really ugly. Since this would be a long boring post if I wrote down all the scenarios I prep for, I'd rather break them down into smaller posts. And as I said, the most immediate one is economic collapse.
Economic collapse:

What kind of jobs would be available? I am trying to make plans and train myself in jobs that would still be around in such an event. Repairmen, engineers, construction workers, mechanics and general laborers may fare better than office workers. I wonder if a job in IT would fare well...technology would definitely be around but on what level? Also, how would schooling work? Education would be substandard as we lose good teachers. A lot of schools have closed in the past few years as well...this is a real consideration. I have thought of stocking books and educational tools, pencils and paper for this purpose. It may not be high up on my list as it is still early for my family, but it is on the to-do-list. Also, public utilities would go down, or would be of substandard quality. The quality of water in countries which faced an economic meltdown dropped significantly. Electricity was also scarce and thus there were roving blackouts. With these came disease and crime.Make plans for purifying water at home (not necessarily from a river out in the woods) and make plans for security at night, when there are no lights and perhaps no police to come to help.
I have stored food and water for my small family to feed us when food prices skyrocket. Our main plan is to bug in when the collapse begins. We'll avoid the riots and the crime by staying in a secure and familiar area. Our apartment can be made secure-the front door is steel and we have a steel table which would barricade it perfectly. Our window has access to an emergency fire escape which I will secure so only the occupants can use it-not thieves or looters. If the electricity goes out, we have lights and and a source of heat. We can cook without the gas from the utility line-and can convert to propane for some time. We've also stocked up on rechargeable batteries and disposable ones-of standard sizes so we can use use them on most of our electronics. In the future I plan to acquire a solar charger to supplement our electrical needs. Not a priority since my wife and I have experience living with roving blackouts when we were younger. As for money, we do not have a lot of money in the banks-and these would serve us little even if we got them out. It would be a good thing to have an emergency fund, in cash, at home or at some safe place for your use.
As part of what I have scouted before, I know which apartment buildings have a chimney, which ones have a source of water or a garden. We know where to find payphones hidden in a quiet corner. We know where to find meat or food besides the grocery. I know these can be useful to me later, and so I have those listed down as part of our plans. Scouting for such useful information is a good exercise I believe, and best done while things are normal and peaceful.
In reality, the biggest issue will be homelessness and food. It will be harder for those who have families, as their needs will be different with the innocent children. My preps do not cover all my concerns on this matter, and I am still working on them. Like I said, better to do them amidst these normal and peaceful times.
Labels:
default,
economic collapse,
economy,
hyperinflation,
preps,
shtf,
urban survival,
wrol
Location:
Midtown, New York, NY, USA
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